NHC's Jamie Rhome joins Bryan Norcross to answer questions on Hurricane Erin

MIAMI - Hurricane Erin continues to airs a superior coastal menace to parts of the Carolinas and mid-Atlantic, arsenic the cyclone churns respective 100 miles disconnected the coast.

In a much than hour-long live-stream hurricane Q&A connected Tuesday, National Hurricane Center Deputy Director Jamie Rhome joined FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross to reply respective questions from viewers astir Hurricane Erin. 

The hurricane experts besides urged the nationalist to absorption connected surge and surf, alternatively than the accepted impacts outlined by the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

"This is going to beryllium a tricky storm," Rhome stated. "It’s going to [cause] large tempest surge and coastal erosion and question impacts on the Outer Banks and portions to the northbound arsenic well."

The NHC past estimated Erin’s maximum sustained winds to beryllium astatine astir 105 mph, making it a Category 2, though observations suggest that worth whitethorn beryllium connected the precocious side. 

Rhome stressed that the Saffir-Simpson standard volition not archer the afloat communicative connected Erin arsenic the cyclone’s immense size is apt to propulsion h2o implicit susceptible obstruction islands on the North Carolina coast. 

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"They’re flooding contiguous with the precocious tide close now," said Rhome. "The upwind hasn’t adjacent travel up. The biggest of the waves haven’t adjacent arrived and they’re already flooding successful spots today."

In areas nether a Storm Surge Warning from Cape Lookout to Duck, North Carolina, forecasters expected h2o levels to emergence astatine slightest 3-4 feet supra mean precocious tide.

Impacts volition not beryllium constricted to North Carolina, arsenic waves generated by Erin are radiating hundreds of miles from the center, reaching from Florida’s Treasure Coast to New England.

"It’s truly a coastal event," said Norcross. "And it’s going to beryllium felt a agelong mode from wherever the halfway of Erin passes offshore."

Forecasters expect New Jersey, Long Island and overmuch of New England to acquisition aggregate precocious tide cycles of ample waves aboriginal successful the week.

As Erin grows successful size and pushes northward, it could besides interaction different disturbances meandering successful the Atlantic.

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Other disturbances swirling down Erin are not an contiguous concern

The NHC is actively tracking 2 disturbances crossed the Atlantic basin, but neither Norcross nor Rhome judge they are an contiguous menace to land.

"The much you disturbance up the ocean, the much apt you are to get to chill h2o successful a wake. And indeed, the 1 that is not an put that looks similar it whitethorn yet crook north, though the model's each implicit the place, and it mightiness acquisition immoderate of that cooler water, if it does so travel Erin," Norcross stated. "There's besides truly beardown acold beforehand coming down, a autumn acold front, and a large dip successful the pitchy watercourse coming down to the eastbound portion of the US, which is going to support things distant from the U.S. coast."

Both disturbances whitethorn look impediments specified arsenic acold fronts, adust air, a important trough and the aftermath of cooler h2o near implicit by Hurricane Erin.

Tracking the tropics map

(FOX Weather)

"These long-range predictions oregon models that you spot radical throwing astir recklessly connected societal media - there's nary predictability. There is nary predictability astatine all," Rhome stated astir the chances of tropical improvement extracurricular of Erin. "I mean, anybody who does this earnestly for a surviving knows that. And knows that there's not overmuch of a awesome there."

For now, hurricane experts accent that residents from the Carolinas to New England should beryllium paying attraction and preparing for days of unsmooth surf, unsafe rip currents, coastal flooding and erosion.