Bryan Norcross: Significant coastal danger this week as Hurricane Erin moves north

Updated astatine 9:30 a.m. ET connected Tuesday, Aug. 19, 2025

We person a peculiar LIVE streaming Hurricane HQ&A this day astatine 4 p.m. ET. NHC Deputy Director and Storm Surge Expert Jamie Rhome volition articulation maine to instrumentality your questions astir the expected impacts from Hurricane Erin and immoderate different questions you have.

We'll beryllium unrecorded connected Facebook, YouTube, TikTok, X, Instagram and LinkedIn. Hope to spot you then.

Join FOX Weather Hurricane Specialist Bryan Norcross for a peculiar Hurricane HQ&A connected Tuesday, Aug. 19, 2025.

(FOX Weather)

Hurricane Erin is dilatory pulling distant from the Bahamas and dramatically increasing successful size. The apical winds person weakened to Category 2 – but the summation successful the diameter of the strategy much than makes up for the alteration successful upwind velocity successful presumption of the magnitude of vigor that the tempest puts into the water water.

Already, the rip existent hazard is precocious on astir of the U.S. East Coast, and the effects from the tempest person lone hardly begun – determination has already been a bid of rescues astatine the formation successful North Carolina.

This representation shows details connected Hurricane Erin connected Aug. 19, 2025.

(FOX Weather)

The National Hurricane Center has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for eastbound North Carolina due to the fact that Erin's expanding circulation could brushwood the extremity of the state. The ticker means that sustained winds of 40 mph oregon higher with gusts to 50 to 60 mph are POSSIBLE. Stay alert of updates to the upwind forecast.

In addition, a Storm Surge Watch was issued, indicating the anticipation that the water h2o volition emergence implicit 3 feet supra the mean precocious tide level. Specifically, the forecast for the Outer Banks and adjacent areas is 4 feet supra mean precocious tide. This volition enactment important unit connected the beaches and structures adjacent the ocean.

Storm surge up to 3 feet supra mean is forecast arsenic acold southbound arsenic Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, and arsenic acold northbound arsenic Norfolk and the Tidewater country of Virginia.

This graphic shows the tempest surge forecast on the Carolina coast.

(FOX Weather)

Through the time today, beardown swells radiating from the halfway of the hurricane volition progressively scope the Southeast seashore – particularly from Palm Beach County, Florida, to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. Increasingly ample and almighty waves volition lb the shoreline for the adjacent 3 days, scouring soil and overwashing low-lying areas. Strong water currents volition adhd to the damaging scenario.

Extreme South Florida is mostly protected by the Bahamas, though immoderate of the vigor from the swells volition scope the coastal waters astir Miami and Fort Lauderdale. Watch for rip existent alerts.

This graphic shows the forecast for Hurricane Erin.

(FOX Weather)

Late Wednesday and done Friday, the impacts volition determination northbound affecting the full bluish fractional of the East Coast, including the Tidewater successful Virginia, the Delmarva Peninsula, the Jersey Shore, coastal Long Island, New England and Atlantic Canada.

Coastal vulnerability volition highest astatine times of precocious tide. Energy from the tempest volition propulsion the tides higher than mean and nutrient large, almighty waves connected apical of that.

Follow section instructions to enactment safe. Even knee-level h2o successful the water volition beryllium capable to sound you implicit due to the fact that of the other beardown currents.

There is precocious assurance that the halfway of the tempest with the strongest winds volition walk betwixt North Carolina and Bermuda. Erin volition beryllium moving dilatory the archetypal fractional of this week and past accelerating retired to oversea Friday and Saturday. The nett effect volition beryllium a long-duration lawsuit with accrued vigor affecting aggregate precocious tide cycles.

2 much systems successful the tropical Atlantic

This graphic shows Hurricane Erin and different areas to ticker for tropical improvement successful the Atlantic Ocean.

(FOX Weather)

A large, disorganized tropical disturbance (tagged Invest 99L) is making its mode crossed the tropical loop betwixt Africa and the Caribbean. The strategy is forecast to scope the vicinity of the northeastern Caribbean islands Friday oregon Saturday. The National Hurricane Center is giving the disturbance a medium-high accidental of processing into astatine slightest a tropical depression.

If winds wrong the circulation scope 40 mph oregon higher, it volition beryllium named Tropical Storm Fernand.

The statement of the long-range machine forecasts is that the system, whether it is Fernand oregon not, volition walk implicit oregon adjacent Puerto Rico and the adjacent islands earlier turning north. Another beardown dip successful the pitchy watercourse is forecast to travel on to assistance the strategy retired of the tropics. It's not wide however adjacent it mightiness travel to the East Coast of the U.S.

This is acold from acceptable successful stone, of course. Forecasts for disorganized disturbances are ever taxable to important changes. For now, we enactment alert that a tropical strategy is forecast to determination into a determination wherever we person to wage adjacent attraction to it this clip of year.

There's different disturbance person to Africa that the National Hurricane Center is taking enactment of. They springiness it a debased accidental of processing astatine this constituent arsenic it moves crossed the tropical Atlantic. The machine forecasts don't bash overmuch with this one. They foretell a batch of adust aerial and an upper-level upwind authorities that is not precise conducive to development. But, of course, we'll ticker carefully.