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THE TAKEAWAY
- Tropical Storm Pena formed successful the Central Pacific good southbound of Hawaii.
- Pena could fortify into the basin's 14th hurricane of the year.
- El Niño has fueled a hyperactive Pacific hurricane season.
- There are immoderate signals that El Niño could linger into the 2027 hurricane season.
Tropical Storm Pena became the archetypal November tropical tempest to signifier successful the Central Pacific since 1982, which was a Super El Niño year. NOAA expects Super El Niño conditions to instrumentality clasp aboriginal this fall oregon winter.
Pena could fortify into the basin's 14th hurricane of the play aboriginal adjacent week. It's presently churning much than 550 miles south-southeast of Hawaii, with sustained winds of 50 mph.
LATEST FROM FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSS
(FOX Weather)
Pena is presently forecast to stay good southbound of Hawaii.
El Niño and a westerly upwind burst person helped to rotation up this late-season storm, Dr. Andy Hazelton, Associate Scientist astatine the University of Miami, told FOX Weather. Westerly upwind bursts are beardown winds that stroke from westbound to eastbound on the equator, temporarily reversing the usually east-to-west commercialized winds.
COULD SUPER EL NIÑO INFLUENCE THE POLAR VORTEX TO DO SOMETHING IT'S NEVER DONE BEFORE THIS WINTER?
Westerly upwind bursts tin propulsion warm, moist aerial together, triggering clusters of thunderstorms and additionally assistance a tempest rotation much efficiently.
Satellite imagery of Tropical Storm Pena connected Nov. 7, 2026.
(CIRA / FOX Weather)
Meanwhile, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring an country to ticker for tropical improvement offshore of Central America. This country is being fixed debased likelihood of improvement implicit the adjacent 7 days.
While the Eastern Pacific hurricane play ends connected Nov. 30, Hazelton said El Niño conditions could linger into the aboriginal portion of the 2027 hurricane season.
(FOX Weather)
The full Pacific Basin has been exceptionally progressive this season, with warmer-than-average waters associated with El Niño helping substance tropical activity.
The basin has produced 24 named storms, 13 of which became hurricanes, 10 of which reached large status, class 3 spot oregon stronger.
BREWING SUPER EL NIÑO HELPS SUPPORT MONSTER SUPER TYPHOONS ACROSS THE WESTERN PACIFIC
Damage successful Poipu, Hawaii, from Hurricane Lowell connected Tuesday, Sep. 8, 2026.
(FOX Weather / FOX Weather)
It's been an progressive hurricane play for Hawaii, a authorities which seldom sees tropical activity. Hawaii saw a nonstop deed from large Hurricane Lowell successful aboriginal September, successful summation to adjacent passes from Lala, Moke and Nolo.
Hurricane Iwa formed astir 500 miles southbound of Honolulu connected Nov. 19, 1982, and ended up making a adjacent walk westbound and northbound of Kaua'i.
Criteria for Super El Niño
(FOX Weather / FOX Weather)
El Niño is 1 of 3 phases of a climate rhythm called the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It describes earthy temperature changes successful the cardinal Pacific Ocean that change atmospheric circulation and tin greatly power global weather.
Water temperatures successful the cardinal equatorial Pacific, averaged much than 2 degrees Celsius supra mean successful September, which is considered Super El Niño territory.
Temperatures person to stay 2 degrees supra mean for 3 months to officially beryllium considered a Super El Niño event.
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