El Niño-fueled storm triggers dangerous flood threat across Texas Hill Country, South Texas through weekend

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THE TAKEAWAY

  • Heavy rainfall to slam parts of West, Central and South Texas opening Saturday.
  • The flash flood hazard increases and shifts southbound connected Sunday, with a wide Level 2 menace covering parts of Hill Country and South Texas, including San Antonio.
  • This is the latest illustration of an El Niño tempest signifier mounting up crossed the confederate portion of the country.

SAN ANTONIO — Parts of Central and South Texas are successful the crosshairs of a unsafe flood threat, arsenic areas from Austin southbound to Brownsville hole for rounds of heavy rain opening Saturday afternoon, with the top flood menace expected Sunday. This is the latest illustration of an El Niño tempest signifier mounting up crossed the confederate portion of the country. 

HOW THE BREWING SUPER EL NIÑO WILL BENEFIT VARIOUS REGIONS ACROSS THE COUNTRY

Sub-tropical jetstream is typically stronger and farther southbound during El Niño
(FOX Weather)

During El Niño fall and winter, the Pacific pitchy stream tends to go much extended and active, acting arsenic a conveyor loop that directs storms farther crossed the confederate tier of the U.S.

This signifier has already begun to play out, with storms causing wide flooding crossed parts of the Southwest implicit the past 2 weekends.

PHOTOS: POWERFUL CROSS-COUNTRY STORM LEAVES TRAIL OF DEADLY DESTRUCTION AFTER WEEK OF HISTORIC FLOODING

This weekend, the pitchy watercourse is positioned straight implicit South Texas, ushering successful lukewarm Pacific moisture that volition harvester with moisture that's surging successful from the Gulf.

A slow-moving tempest strategy volition pat into that humidity, producing rounds of dense rainfall done the weekend. 

Texas flood setup
(FOX Weather)

"Because determination is precise small atmospheric instability, rainfall rates should stay low, resulting successful a steady, soaking rainfall alternatively than sudden, torrential downpours," the FOX Forecast Center said.

POLAR VORTEX DISRUPTED AT THE EARLIEST POINT IN A CALENDAR YEAR ON RECORD — WHAT HAPPENS NEXT?

A Level 1 retired of 4 flash flood hazard covers parts of West Texas, Texas Hill Country, arsenic good arsenic a corridor from Laredo to Brownsville, connected Saturday.

Flash flood threat
(FOX Weather)

The flash flood hazard increases and shifts southbound connected Sunday, with a wide Level 2 menace covering parts of Hill Country and South Texas, including San Antonio. The astir persistent and heaviest rainfall is expected Sunday day done Sunday night.

Widespread rainfall totals of up to 2 inches, with localized amounts of up to 4 inches are expected from Hill Country to the Gulf Coast done Tuesday arsenic rainfall lingers implicit the portion into aboriginal adjacent week.

REMEMBERING TEXAS HILL COUNTRY: 1 YEAR SINCE THE HEARTBREAKING FLOODING DISASTER KILLED 135 ON JULY 4

 A 10-foot transverse  is seen on  the banks of the Guadalupe River successful  beforehand   of Camp Mystic connected  July 18, 2025 successful  Hunt, Texas.

CENTER POINT, TEXAS - JULY 18: A 10-foot transverse is seen on the banks of the Guadalupe River successful beforehand of Camp Mystic connected July 18, 2025 successful Hunt, Texas. 

(Brenda Bazán / The Washington Post / Getty Images)

Texas Hill Country, successful particular, has been susceptible to flooding, including the July 4, 2025, floods that killed 135 radical erstwhile the Guadalupe River roseate to record-breaking heights.

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