Bryan Norcross: Tropical systems bracket Mexico as the Atlantic stays calm

In the utmost southwestern Gulf, Tropical Depression Two is heading toward the Mexican seashore betwixt Veracruz and Tampico. The strategy is precise poorly organized, and there's a bully accidental it volition travel ashore arsenic a blob of tropical moisture with immoderate gusty winds.

If the circulation organizes earlier landfall precocious Sunday, and the winds summation somewhat to astatine slightest 40 mph, the tempest volition beryllium named Tropical Storm Barry. It’s improbable to happen, but conscionable successful case, a Tropical Storm Warning is successful effect for portion of the Mexican Gulf coast.

The strongest winds, specified arsenic they are, volition interaction the seashore mostly northbound of wherever landfall occurs. There volition apt beryllium immoderate gusts successful the 40-50 mph range, but the biggest menace volition beryllium flooding from dense rain.

Some of the depression’s moisture volition apt scope South Texas, bringing dense rainfall opening contiguous into Monday, but the strategy volition soon beryllium past implicit mainland Mexico.

This graphic shows accusation connected an country to ticker for imaginable tropical improvement successful the Gulf oregon disconnected the southeastern seashore of the U.S. aboriginal this week.

(FOX Weather)

On the Pacific broadside of Mexico, a separate, though loosely related, slump is connected the mode to becoming a tropical tempest and apt Hurricane Flossie. It volition way parallel to the southwestern Mexican seashore this week.

The authoritative forecast from the National Hurricane Center is for the worst of the winds to enactment offshore, but a flimsy displacement successful the way would bring unsafe upwind to the seashore adjacent Manzanillo. Residents determination should enactment informed.

Flossie should beryllium weakening importantly by the extremity of the week arsenic the strategy approaches the wide country of Cabo San Lucas, but everybody astir determination should enactment informed arsenic well.

This outer representation shows Tropical Depression 6E successful the Eastern Pacific connected Sunday, June 29, 2025.

(NOAA)

The tropical Atlantic and the Caribbean amusement nary signs of waking up. Strong winds, adust aerial including Saharan dust, and precocious unit proceed to dominate. Disturbances from Africa with their heavy tropical moisture volition proceed to beryllium pushed acold westbound toward Mexico. The Pacific systems and the slump successful the Gulf each developed owed to this stubborn upwind pattern.

Elsewhere, a acold beforehand is forecast to stall retired adjacent the Florida/Georgia enactment adjacent weekend. The shifting upwind travel crossed a beforehand tin sometimes trigger a tropical strategy to commencement spinning. Some of the machine forecasts amusement the anticipation of a slump forming successful the northeastern Gulf oregon disconnected the Georgia/Carolina seashore astir a week from now. It's thing to support an oculus on, but thing is going connected yet. Systems that signifier from aged fronts are often what we spot successful June.

Surges of Saharan particulate are forecast to proceed moving crossed the Atlantic to the Gulf for the foreseeable future. So the lone improvement that’s apt involves fringe systems similar we're seeing successful the utmost confederate Gulf oregon disturbances that signifier from dying fronts adjacent the Gulf oregon Southeast coast.