Bryan Norcross: No further tropical development is likely this hurricane season

Updated astatine 10:30 a.m. connected Sunday, Nov. 8, 2026. 

The upwind signifier implicit the Gulf, the Caribbean, and the Atlantic is successful a wintertime mode. The pitchy watercourse is being energized this twelvemonth by the ace El Niño, truthful it's adjacent much hostile to improvement than normal.

Tropical improvement is improbable for the remainder of this month. Hurricane play officially ends, of course, connected November 30.

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Tropical systems tin signifier and person formed each period of the year, however. The Atlantic's authoritative June-to-November designation of hurricane play conscionable means that tropical improvement is astir apt during those months.

Historically, astir out-of-season tropical storms person not impacted the U.S., though determination are a mates of exceptions.

In 1925, a ample tropical tempest swept crossed Southwest Florida connected November 30 and December 1. The tempest dumped implicit 15 inches of rainfall connected Miami connected the 30th, which acceptable a grounds for the period of November that stands today. Strong winds impacted a swath crossed the state, including Fort Myers, Tampa, and Jacksonville. The tempest went connected to deed eastbound North Carolina astatine near-hurricane strength, though it had morphed into a non-tropical nor'easter-type strategy by that time.

Vehicles marque their mode done a flooded intersection successful beforehand of the Hawaii Convention Center successful Honolulu, Hawaii, connected August 16, 2026. Hurricane Lala was pulling distant from Hawaii's Big Island aboriginal Sunday, arsenic dense rainfall and beardown winds struck the US Pacific authorities and officials warned of perchance unsafe flooding. The dense rainfall and flood hazard volition past dispersed westward crossed the land concatenation connected Sunday, according to the NHC.

(Eugene Tanner / AFP / Getty Images)

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On February 2, 1952, a disturbance organized successful the utmost northwest Caribbean and moved northbound toward South Florida. It strengthened implicit the lukewarm waters southbound of the Keys and plowed crossed Greater Miami aboriginal connected February 3. Winds gusted implicit hurricane spot connected Miami Beach, powerfulness was knocked out, and determination was scattered harm and flooding crossed the city. That tempest went connected to beryllium a nor'easter on the seashore from North Carolina to New England.

Satellite imagery of Tropical Storm Isaias connected Oct. 7, 2026.

(CIRA CSU / FOX Weather)

The acquisition is that weird worldly tin hap immoderate time, but the likelihood are precise debased and surely not worthy worrying about.

Enjoy the tropical break. Although this year, nary doubt, the almighty El Niño volition energize disruptive upwind crossed the U.S., including successful the hurricane zone, done this wintertime season.